the black swan: the impact of the highly improbable

<p>The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable</p>

<p>The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty</p>

<p>What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?</p>

<p>This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.</p>

<p>'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday</p>

<p>'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent</p>